538 2024 Presidential Forecast

538 2024 Presidential Forecast. 538’s 2024 presidential election forecast model showing democrat kamala harris’s and republican donald trump’s chances of winning. Our forecast starts out with a slight lead for harris, reflecting her current edge in polls but uncertainty about how the rest of the election could impact the state of the race.


538 2024 Presidential Forecast

Harris carries the rust belt. It is a composite of ratings by several forecasters.

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